99.9% | I’m unsure what the 0.1% is accounting for, however the Hurricanes are going to the playoffs. Carolina has received seven straight video games, and it has a six-point lead within the Metro Division. The largest query dealing with the Canes’ playoff hopes is whether or not they can recover from the hump and attain the Eastern Conference Finals.
100% | The Bruins might lose each remaining recreation in regulation and nonetheless end above .500 in factors share. If they proceed successful at their pre-All-Star-break tempo, they are going to set a brand new report for factors in a single season. Even if Boston stands pat on the NHL commerce deadline, it’ll nonetheless be the Stanley Cup favourite.
97.1% | Outside of a lull in December, the Devils have seemed the a part of a harmful playoff group. Jack Hughes is a professional famous person, and the supporting solid round him has been nice. If there may be any motive for pause, it is that the Devils’ five-on-five anticipated targets share (45.74%) since Jan. 1 ranks twenty sixth within the NHL, per Natural Stat Trick.
99.4% | There was by no means any query concerning the Leafs’ skill to succeed in the playoffs. They will end as a top-three group within the Atlantic Division, and will probably be a rematch of final season’s first-round collection in opposition to the Lightning, which the Maple Leafs misplaced in seven video games. Regular season success is nice, however Toronto’s season might be judged by its playoff efficiency.
96.2% | I assumed the damage and tear of three straight Stanley Cup Final appearances would take its toll on the Lightning this yr, however that has not been the case. Steven Stamkos, Brayden Point and Nikita Kucherov are as robust as ever, and the Bolts are headed for an additional first-round matchup for the Maple Leafs.
73.9% | Frankly, I used to be shocked to see the Rangers’ playoff probabilities so low. The blueshirts are third within the Metro Division with the Capitals, Penguins and Islanders all nicely behind them in factors share. I suppose it is inside the realm of risk that these three groups catch fireplace and the Rangers fade, however it appears extremely unlikely. Those groups have been inconsistent, and the Rangers have a significantly better total roster.
96.9% | The Oilers had been scorching earlier than the All-Star break, and that 7-0-1 run boosted their playoff probabilities fairly a bit. Now Edmonton has put itself ready to compete for the Pacific Division crown down the stretch. The Oilers have their points, however in addition they have a couple of gamers who can disguise a number of deficiencies.
67.8% | I perceive that the Avalanche are on the playoff bubble proper now, however they’re a lock to succeed in the playoffs so far as I’m involved. Colorado was actually beginning to roll earlier than the All-Star weekend, and it might make a splash on the commerce deadline if Gabriel Landeskog stays on LTIR for the remainder of the common season. That could be unhealthy information for the remainder of the Western Conference.
95.8% | At this time final yr, the Kraken’s playoff probabilities had been most likely within the ballpark of 0.0%. This yr, Seattle is mainly a lock to succeed in the postseason. Even if Seattle’s league-leading capturing share comes right down to Earth, it has constructed a pleasant buffer between itself and the bubble groups within the West.
33.5% | The Sabres are nonetheless on the fallacious finish of those playoff probabilities, however this quantity is infinitely increased than it has been in latest historical past. If nothing else, Buffalo might be taking part in video games with playoff implications in February and March. That alone ought to have the KeyFinancial institution Center rocking, and attending to the postseason could be a cherry on high of a shocking season.
98.3% | The Stars’ incapacity to win video games in additional time is the one factor stopping this quantity from being even increased. Despite their 10 losses in additional time, the Stars are main the Central Division, however they need to get pushed down the stretch. Whether it is the Jets, Wild, or Avalanche continues to be to be decided, however Dallas may have some competitors for that high spot.
97.1% | The Jets had been heading within the fallacious route earlier than the pause, so attending to relaxation and reset could profit them. Winnipeg is an attention-grabbing group as a result of few individuals anticipated it to be in second place after the All-Star break. At this level, the Jets are virtually locked in as a playoff group, however how harmful can they be as soon as they get in?
65.8% | This is the place issues begin to get actually attention-grabbing. The Kings are an excellent group aside from one key space: goaltending. Their group save share of 88.1% ranks thirtieth. That’s simply forward of the Sharks and Canucks and just under the Blues and Blue Jackets. That’s not nice firm, and a scarcity of saves is perhaps the one factor that would hold the Kings out of the playoffs.
78.5% | Much like goaltending for the Kings, a scarcity of constant offense may very well be the Wild’s deadly flaw down the stretch. Minnesota’s 153 targets rank twenty first within the league, and Kirill Kaprizov has scored 18.3% of them. If the Wild can add some scoring earlier than the commerce deadline, they are going to look very formidable within the playoff race.
88.1% | I can perceive why the Flames’ playoff chances are high so excessive. They have a proficient roster, and Darryl Sutter has received a number of video games as a head coach. Having mentioned that, one thing has been off in Calgary all season. Key gamers like Jonathan Huberdeau, Andrew Mangiapane, MacKenzie Weegar, and Jacob Markstrom have all underperformed to a point. Is 31 video games sufficient time for all these gamers to get again on observe?
59.4% | The unhealthy information for the Capitals is that accidents are nonetheless taking their toll, and so they have begun to fade consequently. The excellent news for them is that different groups gunning for a wild card spot just like the Islanders, Sabres, and Panthers all have some clear flaws. Washington nonetheless has the within observe for a playoff spot, however it is perhaps a white-knuckle trip to carry onto it.
84.5% | The Golden Knights are probably a playoff group, however 84.5% is not precisely a lock. It’s simple to see why Vegas’ chances are high so low regardless of holding the third-place spot within the Pacific Division. The Golden Knights have received three of their final 10 video games, and so they have scored simply 34 targets since Jan. 1. With Mark Stone out indefinitely as a result of damage, making the playoffs solely will get harder.
36.9% | Florida has been one of many league’s largest disappointments thus far, however as soon as Matthew Tkachuk begins getting some assist, the Panthers might get scorching and climb the Eastern Conference standings. Could Monday evening’s 7-1 beatdown of the rival Lightning be the spark that lastly ignites this Panthers group?
33.1% | The Islanders took a big gamble once they traded for Bo Horvat, and one have a look at these playoff probabilities tells you why. The Isles are removed from lifeless within the playoff race, however they are going to most likely want some assist to succeed in the postseason. Acquiring Horvat ought to enhance the five-on-five offense in addition to the ability play, however will that be sufficient?
54.8% | One of the groups the Islanders are chasing is the Penguins. Since Jan. 1, Pittsburgh has been caught within the mud, and its 5-5-3 report displays that. Sidney Crosby can most likely will this group to the playoffs on his personal, however the Penguins haven’t got an excessive amount of margin for error down the stretch.
23.8% | This remainder of this month might be essential for the Predators. They confirmed encouraging indicators of life earlier than the All-Star break, and there are some very winnable video games on the February schedule. However, inconsistency has been the theme of the season for Nashville. If the Preds do not make up floor earlier than the commerce deadline, they might and must be sellers.
13.5% | The Senators are on a four-game successful streak, and their playoff probabilities have a pulse, however it’s faint. Even after some strong offseason additions, Ottawa was most likely not going to be a 2023 playoff group. This season was extra about seeing steps in the fitting route, and the gamers have delivered on that.
1.1% | The “Yzerplan” was at all times going to wish at the very least yet one more yr to return collectively. Despite having some good younger expertise on the roster, the Red Wings had been removed from an entire group this season. Another robust offseason from Steve Yzerman might have this group nearer to playoff rivalry in 2023-24.
1.2% | Flyers head coach John Tortorella only in the near past wrote a letter that basically mentioned Year One of the rebuild was going nicely, besides he simply did not use the phrase “rebuild.” Tortorella knew he had an extended street forward of him when he took the Flyers job, and nobody anticipated Philadelphia to smell the postseason in 2023 anyway.
0.0% | The Canadiens are in an honest spot this season. They have allowed their younger prospects to get ample taking part in time, and they are going to be within the working for the No. 1 total decide within the NHL Draft lottery. Flipping a participant or two on the commerce deadline will solely enhance these lottery probabilities.
2.7% | Even as somebody who thought the Blues would possibly miss the playoffs this season, I’m shocked to see their playoff probabilities hanging by the weakest of threads in early February. The wheels have come off the rails for this franchise simply 4 years after successful a Stanley Cup, however they need to be capable to stockpile some property by buying and selling Vladimir Tarasenko and others on the commerce deadline.
0.0% | The Blackhawks had been on a mission to be as unhealthy as potential this season, and that mission has been achieved thus far. They have a 12.4% likelihood to win the draft lottery, in response to MoneyPuck.com. The subsequent part of the plan might be to have a fireplace sale forward of the commerce deadline.
0.1% | The Sharks have an honest likelihood to win the draft lottery and so they have essentially the most extremely coveted commerce deadline goal on their roster in Timo Meier, however I wish to know what this 0.1% situation is. If a blackhole opens up and sucks in 5 different Pacific Division groups, San Jose will get into the playoffs.
0.0% | I had high-ish hopes for the Ducks this yr, however they made it clear very early on within the season that they had been one of many worst groups within the NHL. The younger expertise on this group is not fairly able to push the remainder of the group within the realm of playoff contenders, and a few getting old veterans have fallen flat. The shiny aspect is that it could be enjoyable to see Connor Bedard blended in with Troy Terry and Trevor Zegras.
0.5% | After years of deluding themselves into pondering they’ve a professional playoff group, it appears the Canucks entrance workplace has lastly come to phrases with actuality. Vancouver has already traded captain Bo Horvat and extra strikes are actually on the way in which. The Canucks will not be within the playoff combine for a couple of extra seasons.
0.1% | Much just like the Blackhawks, the Coyotes’ predominant goal this season was to drive these draft lottery odds up as a lot as they might. Seeing as they’ve the fifth-best probabilities to land the No. 1 total decide, the Yotes nonetheless have some work to do down the stretch.
0.0% | If there was any faint hope of a playoff look after signing Johnny Gaudreau within the offseason, it pale in a short time. That mentioned, issues have labored out for the Blue Jackets. They have a professional star signed for six extra seasons, and so they have a 15.9% likelihood to name Connor Bedard’s title in Nashville this summer time.
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