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Agent's Take: Nick Bosa patiently awaits new contract as 49ers star may land deal that resets non-QB market

February 3, 2023
in Sports
Agent's Take: Nick Bosa patiently awaits new contract as 49ers star may land deal that resets non-QB market

Nick Bosa’s contract scenario was the focus when he spoke to reporters on Tuesday with the San Francisco 49ers coming into the offseason after Sunday’s 31-7 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles within the NFC Championship Game. The All-Pro defensive finish was requested particularly if turning into the NFL’s highest-paid defensive participant was a objective. “Not essentially. We’ll simply see the place it goes,” Bosa stated.

Bosa, who’s scheduled to make a totally assured $17.859 million in 2023 on a fifth-year possibility, led the NFL with a career-high 18.5 sacks this season. He has already been named NFL Defensive Player of the Year by the Pro Football Writers of America. The 2019 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year is the main candidate for the extra well known Associated Press model of the award.

Bosa, nonetheless, is not anxious for a brand new deal. “I’m undoubtedly going to have persistence and doubtless not fear about it for a while,” he stated. “I’ve a tremendous agent who will deal with all that.”

49ers common supervisor John Lynch additionally preached persistence when discussing a possible Bosa contract extension in his season-ending press convention on Wednesday. He expressed optimism about getting a deal performed due to the 49ers’ observe document with different core gamers and was complimentary towards Bosa’s agent.

Bosa is represented by WME Sports’ Brian Ayrault, who’s a shrewd negotiator. He additionally represents Chargers edge rusher Joey Bosa, who’s Nick’s older brother. Ayrault put the older Bosa on the prime of the non-quarterback pay scale in 2020 with a five-year, $135 million contract extension averaging $27 million per yr. The $102 million in general ensures and $78 million absolutely assured at signing have been each probably the most ever in an NFL contract for a non-quarterback.

Resetting the non-quarterback market  

Left to his personal gadgets, Ayrault goes to drive a particularly laborious cut price. Ayrault will certainly be trying to reset the non-quarterback market in any deal except in any other case directed by Bosa the place the 49ers get some type of monetary break. The following monetary benchmarks of key contract metrics ought to be related in negotiations:

Average yearly wage: $31,666,667 (Aaron Donald, Rams)

Overall contract ensures: $102 million (Joey Bosa, Chargers)

Fully assured at signing: $80 mllion (T.J. Watt, Steelers)

Signing bonus: $40 million (Donald)

Three-year money move: $95 million (Donald)

First three new years: $95 million (Donald)

Professionals inside the business (brokers and group negotiators) sometimes worth offers by new cash, which is the quantity of compensation in a contract excluding what a participant was scheduled to make earlier than receiving a brand new deal. For instance, Bosa had one yr remaining on his present contract with a $14.36 million wage for 2020 previous to his signing. Although Bosa signed a six-year contract for $149.36 million, his deal is taken into account as a five-year, $135 million extension averaging $27 million per yr amongst business professionals. His present contract yr for $14.36 million is subtracted from the $149.36 million six-year complete to reach at this quantity.

Compensation within the first three new years is the sum of money in a contract unique of what a participant was scheduled to make earlier than receiving a brand new deal, identical to with new cash when figuring out common yearly wage. The money move evaluation appears on the compensation in its totality. The focus is on the sum of money obtained within the first three years of a contract no matter whether or not it is thought of as new cash.

Both metrics have the identical greenback quantity when a participant indicators a brand new contract as a free agent or with an expiring contract (i.e. linebacker Roquan Smith with the Ravens) and within the uncommon occasion a contract is ripped up and changed like in Aaron Donald’s case final June. Donald had three years remaining value $55 million when the Rams gave him a brand new contract for $95 million over those self same years.

Overall contract ensures will be deceptive. An entire image of a contract’s true safety is not given by this metric. The sum of money absolutely assured at signing and can develop into absolutely assured early within the contract are the perfect and most correct measures of safety.

Becoming NFL’s highest-paid non-quarterback  

It’s laborious to think about Ayrault agreeing to any deal that does not make Bosa the NFL’s highest paid non-quarterback with record-setting ensures and a player-friendly construction given the older Bosa’s contract. The Chargers’ move rusher was coming off a 2019 season through which he had 11.5 sacks and was named to his second Pro Bowl in 4 NFL seasons.

The deal represented an eight p.c improve over the five-year, $125 million extension Browns defensive finish Myles Garrett had simply signed to develop into the league’s first $25 million per yr non-quarterback. The identical proportion improve over Donald’s deal would imply $34.2 million per yr for Bosa.

Ayrault has the ammunition to insist on a much bigger proportion improve since Bosa is extra completed than his brother. Bosa has a league main 34 sacks during the last two seasons. The elder Bosa has by no means gained Defensive Player of the Year honors, not to mention been named first group All-Pro.

It would not be a shock if Ayrault had $35 million per yr as his wage ground for a brand new deal. Making Bosa the league’s first $35 million per yr non-quarterback could be 10.53% greater than Donald’s deal.

The 49ers could have a tough time justifying to Ayrault that Bosa should not be the NFL’s highest paid non-quarterback when Jimmy Garoppolo was briefly made the league’s highest-paid participant in 2018 after only a handful of profession begins. More not too long ago, the extensions signed by tight finish George Kittle and linebacker Fred Warner in 2020 and 2021, respectively, reset their respective positional markets.

Typically, an edge rusher just isn’t solely the NFL’s highest-paid defensive participant, but additionally the highest-paid non-quarterback. Since 2016, 5 completely different edge rushers have signed contracts making them the highest-paid non-quarterback. In chronological order, they’re Von Miller (2016), Khalil Mack (2018), Garrett (2020), Joey Bosa (2020) and T.J. Watt (2021).

The 49ers would possibly look to what occurred the final time Donald was changed because the non-quarterback normal bearer. The ink was barely dry on the six-year extension averaging $22.5 million per yr Donald signed in 2018 to finish a prolonged preseason holdout when Mack signed a six-year extension averaging $23.5 million per yr in connection along with his commerce from the Raiders to the Bears.

Mack acquired 4.44% greater than Donald. The 49ers doing the identical for Bosa would imply primarily $33 million per yr.

It ought to be simpler to seek out frequent floor on contract size than cash and the wage ensures. Obviously, Ayrault would not have an issue with a five-year extension since that is the size of the older Bosa’s contract. Kittle and Warner each signed five-year extensions. There should not be something to begin worrying about except Bosa nonetheless hasn’t gotten a brand new deal by the point the 49ers begin taking part in preseason video games in August.

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